andyh wrote:
They got a massive (humongous) loan from the US govt and the economic conditions back then allowed it to happen.
They'll get no such help this time, nor will they be able to expand the economy no matter what they throw at it in the way of CB money.
The UK's prime income is banking services and we all know what happened to that sector don't we?
Then you also have the mathematical situation. Simple maths will show that 1% of a trillion is a hell of a bigger number than 1% of a billion, you can ofc try to inflate your way out of it but thats precisely the zimbabwe situation you expect to avoid.
Bear in mind it has to stay at the 1% rate for the next 30 years too...lol.
Where is this miracle business market thats going to produce over and above inflationary returns for the UK for the next 30 or 40 years to pay back that debt comfortably and who's going to be the customer for it?
Maybe China will outsource its factories over to the UK at some point when we have no dole and no nhs whatsoever and we're all on 10p an hour?
Also, in addition to the above, which is all completely accurate, the UK has to make 2% growth per annum just to cover the interest on its loans.
That doesn't involve paying any back.
It doesn't decrease the budget deficit which increases the overall amount of debt.
That's just to pay back the interest for one year, and necessitate no further borrowing on top of that figure (although the UK has to borrow every month to run its basic services).
That's the current situation, although if GDP fails to grow by 2% per annum, the amount required to service the interest can go up, as it will anyway as the overall debt is increasing at a rate of £1,000,000 every five minutes.
In addition, if at any stage credit ratings agencies decide that Britain can't pay its debts back (which they will when it's beneficial to the banking sector) then the amount of interest that has to be paid will increase. If the credit rating agencies said tomorrow that Britain should be at junk credit rating, then the country is flat broke, literally flat broke. The only thing keeping things going is the ability to borrow at a preferential rate every month.
This is why, to come back to the OP, provisions have already been made for banks to legally steal cash from depositors.